Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.012826 2.314087 2.648851 3.049086 3.515458 4.042777 4.685672
2025-04-27 1.532641 1.926339 2.407718 3.042537 3.862045 4.890154 6.286862
2025-05-04 1.315666 1.756071 2.330645 3.141194 4.264856 5.781664 8.008083
2025-05-11 1.138783 1.594499 2.220713 3.153536 4.524055 6.489023 9.565109
2025-05-18 1.005340 1.466253 2.128350 3.162029 4.759353 7.173637 11.174569
2025-05-25 0.875208 1.321950 1.988703 3.072912 4.823819 7.595976 12.427909
2025-06-01 0.800609 1.249513 1.943949 3.117408 5.093419 8.363839 14.348237
2025-06-08 0.744035 1.196980 1.921410 3.190319 5.412783 9.248665 16.600586
2025-06-15 0.683324 1.129890 1.866035 3.198398 5.617686 9.957916 18.642045
2025-06-22 0.617426 1.046413 1.773097 3.127919 5.670023 10.394728 20.229782
2025-06-29 0.564293 0.978936 1.699691 3.081960 5.758257 10.904396 22.034804
2025-07-06 0.513410 0.910056 1.616204 3.006480 5.778304 11.280777 23.619445
2025-07-13 0.490190 0.893771 1.635173 3.146316 6.278456 12.766124 28.036094
2025-07-20 0.448986 0.840573 1.581462 3.141774 6.497289 13.735396 31.584128
2025-07-27 0.425143 0.817195 1.581153 3.243815 6.955126 15.297558 36.874047
2025-08-03 0.394558 0.776698 1.541501 3.256598 7.217725 16.465988 41.466121
2025-08-10 0.367049 0.739087 1.502856 3.265391 7.471650 17.658778 46.406148
2025-08-17 0.333664 0.685475 1.424223 3.173126 7.471153 18.229615 49.794414
2025-08-24 0.315304 0.661685 1.406704 3.219193 7.815807 19.737698 56.222897
2025-08-31 0.300831 0.644668 1.401946 3.294682 8.247398 21.557317 64.056755
2025-09-07 0.282789 0.617715 1.371545 3.303047 8.505403 22.954688 70.957900
2025-09-14 0.261024 0.580010 1.312054 3.230076 8.532626 23.706769 75.973052
2025-09-21 0.242916 0.548943 1.264844 3.182493 8.623191 24.663715 81.954074